SPC Oct 11, 2018 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook



Day 4-8 Outlook

Day 4-8 Outlook Image

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0233 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

Valid 141200Z - 191200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Medium-range model guidance continues to suggest a strong surface
anticyclone will build south across the Rockies/High Plains forcing
a sharp cold front deep into TX during the day Sunday. This boundary
will undercut a seasonally moist air mass which should result in a
corridor of elevated post-frontal convection across the southern
Plains into the lower MS Valley. While some of this elevated
convection could be strong immediately behind the front, large-scale
pattern does not favor organized severe, especially if thunderstorms
are primarily post frontal in nature. Continental air mass is
expected to spread into lower latitudes which will shunt higher PW
environment/convective threat off the Gulf Coast early next week.

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