SPC MD 1632


MD 1632 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 1632
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0530 PM CST Wed Nov 07 2018

Areas affected...southeast Georgia

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 072330Z - 080100Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind and brief tornado threat appears to
have peaked with bowing segment moving through southern GA.
Intensities are expected to begin a gradual decrease after 00Z.

DISCUSSION...Organized line of storms with a bowing segment, comma
head and embedded meso-vortices over south central GA continues east
at around 40-45 kt. VWP data indicate a local enhancement to the
wind profiles associated with the attendant MCV compared to model
data. This activity will continue to pose a threat for isolated
damaging wind and a brief tornado during the next hour. However,
overall intensities are expected to decrease after 00Z due to a
combination of nocturnal cooling as well as the influence of an area
of showers and storms immediately downstream of the line. A brief
spike in intensities might occur as the line merges with individual
storms, but an eventual overall decrease is expected due to the
stabilizing influence of the downstream area of rain/convection.

..Dial/Grams.. 11/07/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...


LAT...LON   32228317 32648290 33028273 32958213 32658204 32118240
            31968288 32228317 

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