SPC MD 551



MD 0551 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 136… FOR NORTHEASTERN KANSAS

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Mesoscale Discussion 0551
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0918 PM CDT Sun May 05 2019

Areas affected...Northeastern Kansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 136...

Valid 060218Z - 060315Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 136
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe weather threat continues in severe thunderstorm
watch 136.

DISCUSSION...An outflow dominant line of thunderstorms continues to
move southward in northeast Kansas. These storms have been mostly
sub-severe as the outflow boundary is now well ahead of the storms.
Expect the severe threat to remain minimal from this activity as it
continues southward. The better chance for severe storms will be
from storms now in the western portion of watch 136 and from new
development south of the outflow boundary. The 00Z TOP RAOB showed
relatively weak instability with significant inhibition, however the
TWX VWP has shown a strengthening low-level jet in the last 30
minutes and this has proven sufficient for additional storm
development. Given the aforementioned weak instability, a widespread
severe threat is not anticipated, but a few strong to severe storms
are possible for the next few hours.

..Bentley.. 05/06/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...

LAT...LON   39839816 40239763 40099640 40139540 39959506 39589489
            39079519 38779591 38599754 38769804 39329819 39839816 

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