SPC MD 1033


MD 1033 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 1033
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0731 PM CDT Sat Jun 08 2019

Areas affected...Central/southeast SC

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 090031Z - 090200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Sporadic damaging wind gusts are possible along the
loosely organized QLCS moving into portions of South Carolina.

DISCUSSION...At 0015Z, a loosely organized QLCS is moving into
portions of central/southeast SC, with embedded bowing segments
noted near Aiken, SC and north of Savannah, GA. While deep-layer
shear is rather weak over this region, veering low-level wind
profiles are supporting effective helicity of 100-150 m2/s2, which
may support weak circulations along the leading edge of the QLCS
capable of wind damage, in addition to some threat of damaging wind
with any bowing segments in the short term. A gradual increase in
SBCINH with time this evening, along with the lack of stronger
deep-layer shear, should limit the longevity of this QLCS, but some
isolated damaging wind threat may last until around 9-10 PM EDT.

..Dean/Grams.. 06/09/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...


LAT...LON   32178080 32848134 33578182 33838218 34068230 34328165
            33808111 33128051 32738026 32488025 32218044 32178080 

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