SPC MD 1042


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Mesoscale Discussion 1042
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0331 PM CDT Sun Jun 09 2019

Areas affected...East-central/southeast Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

Valid 092031Z - 092200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...Severe risk may continue southeastward across portions of
east-central toward southeast Texas such that an additional Severe
Thunderstorm Watch may be needed.

DISCUSSION...The easternmost portion of a long-lived quasi-linear
cluster continues to steadily progress southeastward, generally
centered along the I-45 corridor near the Corsicana and Athens areas
as of 320 PM CDT. While the integrity of the line has somewhat
lessened and clouds tops have begun to modestly warm, a surface cold
pool will help maintain these storms southeastward along the
instability gradient that largely parallels I-45. At least some
potential for damaging winds and possibly some hail will likely
continue over the next few hours, potentially into areas currently
outside of Watches 348/349.

Convective trends will continue to be closely monitored as a
continuance of severe-caliber storms could prompt an additional
Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance for parts of
east-central/southeast Texas.

..Guyer/Thompson.. 06/09/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...


LAT...LON   30119645 30519674 31549528 31549441 30479444 30119645 

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