SPC MD 80



MD 0080 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA

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Mesoscale Discussion 0080
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0347 PM CST Wed Feb 05 2020

Areas affected...Northern and central Alabama

Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely 

Valid 052147Z - 052345Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...Storms in central Mississippi have increased in intensity
over the last hour. These storms are expected to continue northeast
into central/northern Alabama coincident with an increasingly
favorable environment for severe storms. Tornadoes, with a strong
tornado possible, as well as damaging winds and isolated large hail
will be possible this evening. A tornado watch is likely in the next
hour or two.

DISCUSSION...With the continued approach of a mid-level trough, the
environment within northern and central Alabama should become more
favorable for severe thunderstorms later this afternoon into the
evening. Severe storms are ongoing across central Mississippi and
have been increasing in intensity over the last hour. With time,
mid-level cooling and low-level theta-e advection will help to
increase buoyancy across the region to 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE.
Currently, KHTX/KBMX VAD profiles show 250-300 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH.
With an increase in 850 mb flow this evening, low-level hodographs
only improve with time. As storms in Mississippi continue northeast,
they will continue to pose a threat for a few tornadoes, some
potentially strong. Damaging wind gusts and isolated large hail are
possible. A tornado watch will be needed in the next 1-2 hours.

..Wendt/Hart.. 02/05/2020

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   33268837 34038855 34528878 34968844 34988788 34938605
            34578560 34078551 33638542 33018556 32668661 32598750
            32608802 32758828 33198832 33268837 

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