SPC MD 1050



MD 1050 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND

MD 1050 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 1050
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0148 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2020

Areas affected...Southern New England

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 291848Z - 292045Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated marginally severe hail possible this afternoon.
Modest buoyancy and weak shear will limit the severe threat. No WW
expected.

DISCUSSION...Modest surface heating beneath an upper-level low has
lead to widely scattered thunderstorms across parts of southern New
England. Given the cold air aloft, the stronger storms will be
capable of marginally severe hail. Low-level lapse rates and
low/mid-level winds are not all that impressive which will limit the
potential for damaging wind gusts. Thunderstorms should decrease in
coverage and intensity by late afternoon. No WW is expected.

..Wendt/Hart.. 06/29/2020

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...

LAT...LON   41297293 41327327 41737378 42367369 42687311 42637213
            42257120 41757054 41237060 41277218 41297293 

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