SPC MD 1219



MD 1219 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH POSSIBLE FOR EASTERN KANSAS

MD 1219 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 1219
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0331 AM CDT Tue Jul 14 2020

Areas affected...eastern Kansas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

Valid 140831Z - 140930Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Storms may continue to pose some risk for isolated
damaging wind next couple hours across a portion of eastern and
southeast Kansas. Trends are being monitored for a possible WW.

DISCUSSION...An MS over central KS has intensified during the past
30 min or so with radar base velocity data now indicating a corridor
of 70 kt winds at 7000 ft, but some of this momentum might extend to
lower levels and could be reaching the surface. The MCS is being
driven by an MCV and intensifying low-level jet. Deep convergence
along the gust front might remain sufficient to sustain storms
through a corridor of moderate instability next few hours before the
low-level jet begins to veer and weaken.

..Dial/Thompson.. 07/14/2020

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...DDC...

LAT...LON   38089849 38689784 38849674 38289582 37709572 37259668
            37759797 38089849 

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