SPC MD 1371



MD 1371 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA

MD 1371 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 1371
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1223 PM CDT Sat Aug 01 2020

Areas affected...portions of North and South Carolina

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 011723Z - 011930Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Deep convection has developed in earnest across portions
of the discussion area, though the isolated nature of any
severe-wind threat should preclude the need for a WW issuance.

DISCUSSION...A strongly buoyant airmass has support scattered
thunderstorm development across portions of the discussion area over
the past hour or so.  These storms are in a weakly sheared
environment, with meager southwesterly flow barely exceeding 20
knots through most of the profile.  Weak/subtle convergence, weak
inhibition, and nearly 4000 J/kg MUCAPE was contributing to the
convective development, which may result in a few localized areas of
damaging winds over the course of the afternoon.  The severe threat
will remain relatively isolated however, precluding a WW issuance.

..Cook.. 08/01/2020

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON   33928195 34798113 35697996 36257834 36187702 35457613
            34667658 33717802 32807953 32308085 32788169 33578203
            33928195 

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